After matchday 37 of LaLiga Santander, in which Espanyol’s relegation was confirmed, up to six teams -Cádiz, Getafe, Valencia, Almería, Celta and Valladolid- will play permanence this Sunday, with the ‘yellows’ and the ‘ché’ virtually saved.

After the tie in Mestalla against Espanyol in the last breath, Valencia del ‘Pipo’ Baraja, fifteenth, faces the final match, in which they visit Betis, with the peace of mind that they will remain among the elite of Spanish football if does not lose But if he finally loses, with 41 points, a hypothetical and remote carom would drop him to the silver category.

For this to happen, Getafe and Cádiz would have to lose and Almería and Celta would have to win their matches. This multiple and complex combination means that its probability of falling, according to the statistics company Driblab, is only 1 percent.

Another team that faces the game that closes the season quite calmly is Cádiz. Sergio González’s team prevailed (1-0) this Sunday against Celta at home, a victory that also places them thirteenth with 41 points in the table, two above danger. In addition, he will terminate the course at the Martínez Valero of the already relegated Elche, aware that scoring would confirm his desired salvation.

A defeat against an Elche that accumulates four games without losing would make them a ‘Second’ team, as long as Celta, Almería and Valladolid win and Valencia tie or win at Villamarín. This makes their relegation probability 2.7 percent.

Also with 41 points and reinforced with seven points in the last three games, Getafe, fourteenth, reaches the end of the season with a little more calm and with the need for at least a draw against Valladolid in Zorrilla. If they lose, it would go down if Celta and Almería win, although the possibility of going to ‘hell’ increases to 4.4 percent.

From here, anxiety grows in the table, with Almería, sixteenth, which has made life difficult in the final stretch with a last draw against Valladolid. His 40 points, just one above the hated relegation, force him to beat relegated Espanyol to continue in ‘First’. Only then would the category be maintained.

In case of ‘stumble’, a draw would leave their continuity in LaLiga Santander in the hands of a defeat by Celta or a ‘puncture’ by Valladolid. If Almería loses, they need Galicians or Pucelanos to do the same. Its probability of relegation is 12 percent.

After having achieved a single point from the last 18, Carlos Carvahal’s Celta reaches the end of the seventeenth year with 40 units that leave everything pending for this last day. And his ‘life’ will be at stake in a very complicated game against Barça in Balaídos, where he has only lost one of the last seven games against the Catalans.

To save themselves they need to win or draw and for Almería or Valladolid to lose, while if Pezzolano’s men fail to win, they could even lose to the champion and continue in LaLiga. Nonetheless, the data gives you a high 20 percent chance of falling into the well.

Finally, the team with the most options to go down is Valladolid, third from last with 39 points, whose probability of going down is 61 percent. However, they depend on themselves and if they beat Getafe, they are saved, going down to the ‘azulones’. But if they lose if they lose, they will be a ‘Second’ team. In the event of a tie, they need Almería to lose to stay.