Real's calculations to go to the next round in the Europa League

The point scored by Real in the field of AZ Alkmaar may be the penultimate impulse to the round of 32. The virtue of avoiding loss led to self-dependence is the best objective conclusion that the expedition packs on its return from the Netherlands. If the set of Imanol
Sheriff beat Rijeka next Thursday in Anoeta and Napoli beat AZ in Alkmaar, the qualification from San Sebastian to the round of 32 of the Europa League will be a fact. An indisputable success, now that the danger of a group that takes no prisoners is being felt.

At the conclusion of matchday four, Napoli leads group F with 9 points, two more than Real and AZ. The next day is decisive to find out in what conditions the Real lands in southern Italy on December 10. A triumph in Anoeta over Rijeka, who have not added in four games and are eliminated, would trigger the aspirations to go to the round.

If Real beat Rijeka and AZ Napoli too, a final draw in the Italian field would be enough to qualify. Adding four points in these last two days is a guarantee of getting into the knockout phase if Real repeats AZ's results. A tie on points between Guipuzcoans and Dutch is favorable thanks to the goal of For your in Anoeta and zero to zero on Thursday. The goal average is for Real.

A tie compromises

The best advice for the Real is to beat Rijeka. Staying tied against the Balkans could compromise survival in Europe. In this context, if AZ beat Naples, the royalists would travel to the foothills of Vesuvius with the obligation to win in a direct, unconditional duel for qualification. If the next match between Alkmaar and Napoli ends in a draw or with a Parthenian victory, Real will have the mission of emulating the result of the Dutch against Rijeka on the final day.

There is life in case of defeat

A defeat against Rijeka in no case would eliminate Real before the last day. Thanks to the value of the point achieved at the AFAS Stadion, there is an operation, more remote, of course, that would serve the Real until losing next week and drawing in Naples. These options would go through a tie between AZ and the Gattuso in the next round and in a subsequent Dutch defeat against Rijeka, which in turn would have to claim victory in the last matches when they have not yet scored. Only the accuracy of science justifies this very far-fetched combination. If the Real stumbles with all the law before Rijeka and Naples conquers Alkmaar, those of Imanol he would also need to reap the same result as AZ on the final day.

Four criteria in the triple tie

The arithmetic warns of the possibility that Real, AZ and Napoli equal 11 points after the group stage. UEFA establishes four criteria to define classified and eliminated. All uniting the three involved in the same classification. The one with the most points will be favored; the best in the difference between goals scored and conceded; the one who has scored the most; or the highest scoring team away from home. In this order. Hence, the Real is interested not only in winning at Rijeka, but also score as many goals as possible to succeed in a triple tie. To do this, the challenge is to get out of the European jam in the face of goal: Real have only scored two in four games. One of Baptist and another from For your.