Week 13 NFL predictions from Prisco: 49ers exact revenge against Eagles, Saints surprise Lions, and Texans repel the Broncos
We’re on a heater, ladies and gentlemen. After the Thanksgiving break, I’ve had consecutive weeks without double-digit ATS victories. Let’s start with my five locks of the week, as usual.
With the performance of the favorites, I have amassed a 23-6-1 ATS record since Week 11, which included a 12-3-1 ATS record last week.
Even while that’s an incredible run, there’s still space for growth, especially as my locks of the week performed just 2-3-1 in Week 12.
As we all turn our attention to a Week 13 slate, where I’ve targeted a few underdogs as possible covers, I’ll try to maintain the hot trend while focusing on my five locks.
This game is crucial for these teams in terms of qualifying for the playoffs. The Seahawks are faltering while the Cowboys are dominating.
There’s no reason to think the Cowboys won’t maintain their home-field advantage. Dak Prescott keeps up his sultry behavior. Big cowboys.
There were more wild finishes in week twelve. On the road, the Ravens both Buccaneers lost late leads, while the Chargers had a fantastic escape in Arizona. The Raiders also shocked the Seahawks at home.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers, the Dolphins took care of things at home, producing some more predictable results.
This increases our confidence to make better forecasts and picks against the point spread for Week 13.
I was 9-7 straight up and 8-7-1 vs the spread when making NFL choices last week. However, given that the week wasn’t all that difficult, I don’t feel comfortable about it.
Here’s how I can tell that: I’d want to commend my colleague Dave Richard, who is included in our Experts Picks, for going 14-1-1 ATS. That only proves that the week wasn’t too difficult.
I really need that kind of week. As of right now, I am 108-72 straight up during the season and 88-85-7 ATS. December is quickly approaching.
That’s when competitors show up. Additionally, it’s an excellent time for a nice week, both ATS and immediately up, one way over 500.
Some dogs are going to win after a week where favorites won most of the games, and this Dolphins vs. Commanders matchup feels as one that might surprise some people. Although I don’t expect a major upset, I do believe Washington wins.
It’s the Commanders’ first game since dismissing DC. Ron Rivera and Jack Del Rio will assume control of the defensive play-calling.
That ought to provide the unit with a slight boost, but our main focus is on the commander’s offensive to maintain our numerical advantage.
Sam Howell leads the National Football League (NFL) in passing yards, completions, and attempts this season after displaying spurts of brilliance.
In their past 14 games, the Commanders have also gone 9-3-2 ATS as the underdog, and in their last seven games, they have gone 5-1-1 ATS as the two-possession underdog.
They have players in their skill position who can score points, and they won’t be concerned about Jaelan Phillips, a pass rusher, throwing Howell to the ground following his Achilles hurt last week.
The Rams are beginning to get a bit of a groove, don’t look now. They just finished their season with a season-high 37 points against Arizona, and they have won two consecutive.
Over that time, Matthew Stafford has shown himself to be very good, and the offense recently brought in Kyren Williams, who gives them another dynamic player in their backfield. In Los Angeles, to put it simply, the arrow heads up.
Cleveland’s 7-4 record, nevertheless, does not accurately represent their current circumstances. Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s concussion from last week’s game further casts doubt on the quarterback situation.
Myles Garrett isn’t fully fit for this game either, as seen by his sighting in a sling following the team’s loss to Denver last week.
This season, the Browns defense has allowed 29.6 points per game away from home, which is a concerning trend while facing the suddenly explosive Rams team.