The countdown of the territorial bomb in the British Isles has begun and the only doubt is where the first detonation will take place, in Ireland, where Sinn Féin has moved token already to form Government, after his historical triumph in the generals of Saturday; or in Scotland, where the Executive does not rule out reaching the courts to call a second independence referendum, if London maintains the refusal. Either scenario, separately, would be enough to turn on all alerts in Downing street, but their simultaneity threatens to burst into the hands of a Boris johnson, which aspired to focus on the domestic agenda, once the Brexit formally materialized.
The prime minister tries to prioritize home affairs, but the initiative of the Sinn Féin It has two direct consequences: the tightening of Ireland before the negotiations of the future relationship with the EU and its determination to promote a plebiscite of unification of the island. Their leader, Mary Lou McDonald, believes that all roads lead to consultation and warns that, even if she is not taoiseach, as the head of the government in Ireland is known, “whoever, need to make this clear to Boris Johnson.”
Scotland's prime minister values taking London to court if she rejects the vote
His intention, however, remains to lead the next administration, as a second force in seats, with 37, technically one less than Fianna Fáil, although in practice they have the same, since the president of Parliament, who does not vote, is of This last formation. Sinn Féin has already announced talks with minority parties, excluding the two referents who have distributed power for almost 100 years: Fianna Fáil Y Fine gael, which collected 35 seats. The problem is that no combination reaches the 80 parliamentarians that mark the hegemony, so it remains to be seen if the talks light a Cabinet, or new elections will be necessary.
In ScotlandMeanwhile, the obstacle is simpler. The government rules out an “illegal” referendum, but yesterday the main minister said “do not close the door” to go to court if London maintains the blockade to the independence consultation. In his intervention, Nicola Sturgeon he acknowledged that it would not be his “first preference”, but he did not rule out calling it without the permission of the British Government, if the Justice protects “that the Scots have the right to choose their future”.
According to her, in this scenario, the referendum “It would no longer be illegal,” so his great hope is to recover in the 2021 elections the absolute majority lost in 2016.
