Spanish football is no longer what it used to be. Despite this, the performance of our team continues to make the country dream of a plenary session in the round of 16. For the moment, things are looking good, even for Sevilla. Both those of Lopetegui, such as Barça and Villarreal depend on themselves to be in the round of 16. Those of Barjuan could achieve it the next day if they win. Those of Emery also have a good chance of celebrating the pass by winning, although there is still some option of not achieving it in that case. The sky is darker in Nervión, but there is still optimism. He is the only one of the three who can be mathematically eliminated on matchday five, although a win gives him another bottle of oxygen. The night also left Bayern and Juve mathematically in the second round. These are the accounts of the Spanish teams:
Barcelona (vs. Benfica 11/23 at 9:00 PM)
Does Barcelona have mathematical options to qualify?
Yes. If he wins, although he will no longer have a chance to be first unless Dinamo beat Bayern.
Does Barcelona have mathematical options to stay out?
No, but losing to Benfica would not depend on himself in the last match.
What if … Barcelona beat Benfica?
-If Bayern beat Dinamo … Barça will be classified, but they will not be able to be first.
-If Bayern and Dinamo tie … Barça will be classified, but they will not be able to be first either.
-If Dinamo beat Bayern … Barça will be classified and will be first if they beat Bayern and overcome the goal average of three goals difference.
What happens if … Barcelona draws with Benfica?
-If Bayern beat Dinamo … Barça will not be able to be first and the pass will be played at the Allianz. He will have to win or wait for Benfica not to. If Benfica win and Barça don’t, they will be out.
-If Bayern and Dinamo tie … same case as the previous one. Barça will have to win on the last day or wait for Benfica not to.
-If Dinamo beat Bayern … Barça cannot be first and it is not a result that benefits them. He will depend on himself on the final matchday, but he could also be overtaken by Dynamo Kiev.
What if … Barcelona lose to Benfica?
-If Bayern beat Dinamo … Barça would play the classification on the last day, although it would not depend on itself. It would be the worst situation, since Dinamo would be mathematically fourth and nothing would be played against Benfica.
-If Bayern and Dinamo draw … Dinamo would not be in the fight either, which would not favor Barça, which would depend on the result of a Benfica who would play against a team that does not play anything.
-If Dinamo beat Bayern … also a bad option. Dinamo would be very much alive and both the Ukrainians and Benfica could pass him. He would not depend on himself.
Current ranking
Bayern 12, Barcelona 6, Benfica 4, Dynamo Kiev 1.
Villarreal (vs. Manchester United 23/11 a las 18:45)
Does Villarreal have mathematical options to qualify?
Yes. He will be classified if he wins and Atalanta does not beat Young Boys. Also if Atalanta win and Villarreal knock United down recovering the goal average.
Does Villarreal have mathematical options to stay out?
No. Whatever happens, Emery’s men will arrive with options for the last day. What’s more, they will depend on themselves. Winning Atalanta on the last day will always classify the Yellow Submarine for the last 16.
What if … Villarreal beat United?
-If Young Boys beat Atalanta … VIllarreal will be classified and will be worth the tie to be first on the last day. Even losing could be first, but as long as United’s goal average recovers.
-If Atalanta and Young Boys tie … Villarreal will be classified and it will also be worth the tie against Atalanta to be first. Again, it would be worth the loss if he beat United’s goal average.
-If Atalanta beat Young Boys … Villarreal would not have to be classified. It would be worth scoring on the last day. It would also happen if he loses and has won United’s goal average or if he loses and United does not win.
What if … Villarreal draws with United?
-If the Young Boys beat Atalanta … the group would jump into the air. Villarreal would already fall losing. But it would happen with a draw or, of course, with a victory.
-If Atalanta and Young Boys tie … Villarreal would pass by drawing or winning. It could happen losing, but as long as it has won the goal average to Manchester United and those of Solskjaer lost to Young Boys.
-If Atalanta beat Young Boys … there would be a triple lead tie. Or, what is the same, it would be worth to Villarreal with winning. In the tie, overall goal averages and another possible triple lead tie would come into play and the defeat would leave him out.
What if … Villarreal lose to United?
-If Young Boys beat Atalanta … VIllarreal would go on to beat Atalanta. But the tie could leave him out if the Young Boys give the bell against United. The defeat eliminates him on the last day.
-If Atalanta and Young Boys tie … Villarreal would continue to depend on itself: victory gives it the pass. It would be an ideal situation, since the tie would also be worth it. The defeat, again, would fire him from the Champions League.
-If Atalanta beat Young Boys … the worst possible situation. It would not be worth the draw or lose on the last day. Although it would also happen with a win.
Current ranking
Manchester United 7, Villarreal 7, Atalanta 5, Young Boys 3.
Sevilla (vs. Wolfsburg 11/23 at 9:00 p.m.)
Does Sevilla have mathematical options to qualify?
No. In fact, he will only depend on himself on the last day if he wins at Wolfsburg.
Does Sevilla have mathematical options to stay out?
Yes. If he loses he will be out. If they tie, they will be out unless Lille beat Salzburg. In that case, it would only be worth a victory for the French against Wolfsburg on the last day.
What if … Sevilla beat Wolfsburg?
-If Lille beat Salzburg … Sevilla would depend on itself on the last matchday. It would go on to win over Salzburg, although it would depend on Lille to be first. It would not be worth the tie in the final appointment in any case.
-If Lille and Salzburg tie … same case: Sevilla would win over Salzburg on the last day, although again it will depend on Lille for the first place and it would not be worth the draw.
-If Salzburg beat Lille … Sevilla would depend on itself because it would place second. Of course, it could not be first of the group.
What if … Sevilla draws with Wolfsburg?
-If Lille beat Salzburg … the situation would be difficult, but not impossible. Those of Lopetegui would continue to bottom, they could overtake Salzburg by winning, but they would need Lille to beat Wolfsburg.
-If Lille and Salzburg tie … Sevilla would be mathematically eliminated, because they could only get a triple draw with Wolfsburg and Lille and they are defeated in any case. Yes he could get into the Europa League, but he wouldn’t even depend on himself.
-If Salzburg beat Lille … Sevilla would also be mathematically out, although with a greater chance of being third, which they would achieve if they beat Salzburg in the last round.
What if … Sevilla lose to Wolfsburg?
-If Lille beat Salzburg … Sevilla would be mathematically out and could not even be third.
-If Lille and Salzburg tie … Sevilla could not be third either.
-If Salzburg beat Lille … Sevilla would be out, although it could be third if they win and Lille lose on the last day.
Current ranking
Salzburg 7, Wolfsburg 5, Lille 5, Seville 3.
Group stage tiebreaker criteria
1- Points in the matches between the tied teams.
2- Goal difference in matches between tied teams.
3- Greater number of goals in favor in the matches between the tied teams.
4- Best goal average in group matches.
5- Greater number of goals scored in group matches.
6- Greater number of goals scored away from home in group matches.
7- Greater number of victories in the group.
8- Greater number of victories as a visitor in the group.
9- Lower score of cards: the red ones count 3 points, the yellow ones 1 and the expulsion for double yellow 3 (not 1 + 1 + 3, but only 3).
10- Best UEFA coefficient.
Check the Champions League rankings.