Two ‘endings’, 81 combinations and many concerns

Winner in a hurry on Saturday against Osasuna, the Atlético de Madrid He already focuses on the Champions League, in which only four points in as many days keep him on the edge of elimination and face him with two ‘finals’, 81 combinations and many concerns against him Milan and the Port, with the only guarantee of two victories or four points, provided that three of them are in Do Dragao, to advance to the round of 16 without depending on the Portuguese scoreboard in Liverpool.

They are the only calculations that do not include the result of Porto at Anfield in the European future of the rojiblanco team, linked in an indispensable way also to the meeting of the last appointment in Portuguese territory, where the second position of their group will be played and the pass to the Champions League qualifiers in almost all cases except one that would leave him out this day: if Atlético fall with Milan and Porto win in Liverpool.

Of the 81 possible marker combinations in the last two days of the group stage, Atlético is classified in thirty (37 percent), in three it is resolved by the general difference in goals between both teams, with the advantage of the rojiblanco team for now, and in 48 (59 percent) it is eliminated from the Champions League.

The combinations for Atlético

Two victories against Milan and Porto (10 points in six matchdays):

Six points in the last two appointments, with two wins against Milan at the Wanda Metropolitano and against Porto at Do Dragao, in that order, guarantee the presence of the team trained by Diego Simeone in the knockout stages of the Champions League, whatever happens in the Portuguese team’s duel against him Liverpool, which is already classified yes or yes as the first of the quartet.

– A draw against Milan and a victory in Porto (8 points in six days):

As in the previous option, this combination of four points classifies Atlético for the Champions League qualifiers without depending on anyone other than himself, although in some cases thanks to the particular difference in their confrontations with him. Port, with whom he tied at home without goals and who would win in this hypothesis on the last day in the Portuguese field. Within these parameters, the score this Wednesday of the Portuguese club at Anfield would not influence anything.

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Javier G. Gomara

– A win against Milan and a draw in Porto (8 points in six matchdays):

Although it also adds four points (to end with a total of eight), this combination does not classify the Madrid team in all cases, since I would need the essential condition that the Portuguese team have not beaten Liverpool this Wednesday at Anfield. In all other cases, Atlético would continue ahead in the top European competition.

– A victory against Milan and a defeat in Porto (7 points in six matchdays):

Even if he wins against Milan this Wednesday, if he loses in Porto he is eliminated in all cases. It would be third in the group, which would go to the Europa League.

– A defeat against Milan and a victory in Porto (7 points in six matchdays):

If the order of their victory is reversed (they lose against Milan but win in Porto), Atlético qualify as long as the Portuguese team has not beaten Liverpool before. If, on the other hand, the Portuguese team triumphs this Wednesday at Anfield and the Madrid bloc loses at the same time with Milan, they would already be eliminated from the Champions League one day in advance.

– Two draws against Milan and Porto (6 points in six matchdays):

Still not winning any of the two games that remain to be played, Atlético would have some minimal option of moving to the group, provided that Porto lose this Wednesday at Anfield. With both teams balanced with six points at the end of the group stage, tied for everything in their duels with each other, it would be the overall goal difference that would classify the rojiblanco team. In the event that the Portuguese team draws or beats Liverpool, it would not be enough with two equalized to Diego Simeone’s block.

– A draw against Milan and a defeat in Porto (5 points in six matchdays):

Atlético is eliminated from the Champions League in all cases with this combination of markers, but continues ahead in the Europa League, because it would be third in the group.

– A defeat with Milan and a draw in Porto (5 points in six games):

Atlético is eliminated with this sequence of results. It even endangers the Europa League, which would be left out if Milan were able to beat Liverpool in the last round at San Siro.

– Two defeats against Milan and Porto (4 points in six matchdays):

Atlético is left out of the round of 16 in the nine possible marker combinations with two losses. In six of them, even in the Europa League, because it would be the last of the group in the event that Milan win or draw with Liverpool in the ‘rossonero’ field.

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