Just a local win in six games: Chance or consequence?

The return of the Bundesliga, with a total of six games played this Saturday behind closed doors, opened a debate on the fact that only one of the matches ended with a ‘1’ in the pool. The Borussia Dortmund, by prevailing 4-0 to the Schalke 04, was the only one of the teams that was the winner acting as a local, and taking into account that the meetings were held without an audience in the stands and therefore without the environmental factor making an appearance, what happened is striking.

With the numbers in hand, it is observed that this unique triumph of the Dortmund It constitutes 17% in terms of victories for the team that acts as a local, far from the 44% that occurred earlier in this edition of the Bundesliga (98 out of 224).

It should be said, however, that a sample of only six games seems unreliable for any opinion or to assert the fact that playing behind closed doors is going to have a great effect that in a way would adulterate the competition. For this, you have to wait.

But at the same time it is worth asking: How much is it by chance and how much as a consequence of the fact that the matches are held without the fans in the stands?